Tight End Overview

Most fantasy mangers overlook the importance of a tight end in fantasy drafts. Like quarterbacks, the top tight ends are a scarce commodity. In 2007 drafts, there is Antonio Gates, and then there are the rest of the tight ends. But if you want Gates, you will need to take him as early as the middle of round 3. By doing so, you will pass up either a top quarterback or wide receiver. Since wide receivers are deep, one strategy is to take Gates in round 3, then follow up with either a top wide receiver or quarterback in rounds 4 and 5. If you decide that this is not the route that you want to take, there are plenty of other options available at tight end in rounds 6-10. The tier two running backs can be drafted in rounds 6-7. Todd Heap is the current tight end being taken after Gates. With Willis McGahee in the fold in Baltimore, Heap’s value should increase as defenses key more on the run this season. Jeremy Shockey is the 3rd tight end going off the board. With Tiki Barber retired, defenses will be keying less on the run and more on the pass this season. Eli Manning may dump off a lot of passes to Shockey this season. The 4th tight end off the board is Tony Gonzalez in Kansas City. With Larry Johnson still holding out and a new quarterback at the helm this season, I am concerned somewhat about Tony’s overall numbers for 2007. Is he being drafted more on his name that his overall ability? The 5th tight end off the board is Alge Crumpler of the Atlanta Falcons. With Michael Vick out for who knows how long and Joey Harrington as the starting quarterback in Atlanta, Crumpler’s value should either remain the same or slightly decrease. Harrington will be checking off to Crumpler a lot this season. But don’t lose sight that Crumpler was Vick’s go to guy for the last several seasons. Will Harrington and Crumpler develop the same chemistry that Crumpler had with Vick? Time will tell. The 6th tight end off the board is Vernon Davis and he is the last of the tier 2 tight ends. I think that Davis offers the best value at tight end this season. You can draft him in the middle to late 7th round and he could end up ranking #2 overall by the end of the season. There are several tier 3 tight ends that will make nice additions to fantasy rosters this season. The 7th tight end being drafted is Chris Cooley of the Washington Redskins. He should slip to round 8 or later. He is currently being drafted with the last pick in round 7. The 8th tight end of the board is Kellen Winslow of the Cleveland Browns. I think that Winslow is going to have a great season and will produce the same or better than most of the tier 2 tight ends. Both Kellen Winslow and Vernon Davis are tight ends to target once the big boys are off the board. Ben Watson is the 9th tight end being drafted this season. My concern with Watson is that of any wide receiver or tight end in New England. Brady spreads the ball around so who much productivity can one expect from Watson this season? Not as much as other tight ends in my opinion. L.J. Smith is the 10th tight end taken in drafts this season. He’s a high risk, high reward tight end. Donovan McNabb is returning from a serious knee injury and it is assumed that he will be less mobile this season. With his decreased mobility, he may throw more to his tight end than downfield to his receivers. But if McNabb were to injure his knee again, that would result in less productivity from L.J. Smith. The 11th tight end taken off the board is Randy McMichael. He moves from Miami to St. Louis and should be a welcome addition to the St. Louis pass happy offense. McMichael could be a nice sleeper at tight end this season. I personally would take him ahead of Watson and Smith. The 12th and final tier 3 tight end drafted this season is Jason Whitten of the Dallas Cowboys. Two seasons ago, Whitten was a top 5 tight end, but last season he was just average at best. Was it because he and Romo did not develop any chemistry? I think that with the maturity of Romo this season, Whitten can return to a top tight end, although it will be hard to produce better than the tier 1 and tier 2 tights end this season. If you have a draft strategy where you just plain simply wait until the final rounds to draft a tight end or to draft a backup tight end for bye weeks, then you should have your pick of tier 4 tight ends anytime after round 10.

Overall Draft Strategy For Tight Ends

Pass on Antonio Gates (1) in round three. There is more value at tight end in the later rounds. I’m waiting on drafting a tight end until the later rounds. This would also eliminate earlier draft picks such as Todd Heap (2), Jeremy Shockey (3), and Tony Gonzalez (4).

Tight End Projections

Rank

Player

Team

Receiving Yards

Receiving TDs

1

Antonio Gates

San Diego

1,000

10

2

Todd Heap

Baltimore

750

8

3

Jeremy Shockey

New York Giants

725

8

4

Tony Gonzalez

Kansas City

900

7

5

Alge Crumpler

Atlanta

750

6

6

Vernon Davis

San Francisco

650

6

7

Chris Cooley

Washington

800

5

8

Kellen Winslow

Cleveland

700

5

9

Ben Watson

New England

700

5

10

L.J. Smith

Philadelphia

600

5

11

Randy McMichael

St. Louis

650

4

12

Jason Whitten

Dallas

700

3

Average Draft Position

Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Tier 4

 

Round

Team 1

Team 2

Team 3

Team 4

Team 5

Team 6

Team 7

Team 8

Team 9

Team 10

Team 11

Team 12

1

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

2

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

14

13

3

25

26

27

28

29

30

Antonio Gates - SD

32

33

34

35

36

4

48

47

46

45

44

43

42

41

40

41

38

37

5

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

6

72

71

70

69

Jeremy Shockey - NYG

Todd Heap - BAL

66

65

64

63

62

61

7

73

74

Tony Gonzalez - KC

76

77

78

79

Alge Crumpler - ATL

Vernon Davis - SF

82

83

Chris Cooley - WAS

8

96

95

94

Kellen Winslow - CLE

92

91

90

89

88

87

86

85

9

97

98

99

Ben Watson - NE

101

102

L.J. Smith - PHI

104

105

106

107

108

10

Randy McMichael - STL

Jason Whitten - DAL

118

117

116

115

114

113

112

111

110

109

11

121

122

123

Dallas Clark - IND

125

126

127

128

129

130

131

132

12

144

143

142

Heath Miller - PIT

140

139

138

137

136

135

134

133

13

145

146

147

148

149

150

151

152

153

154

155

156

14

Greg Olsen - CHI

167

166

165

164

163

162

161

160

Tony Scheffler - DEN

158

157

15

169

170

171

172

173

174

175

176

177

178

Owen Daniels - HOU

180


Tight End Rankings - Updated August 2007

Tight End Rank Overall Rank Player Team ADP
1 30 Antonio Gates SD 31.8
2 65 Jeremy Shockey NYG 68.6
3 67 Todd Heap BAL 68.8
4 73 Tony Gonzalez KC 76.0
5 81 Vernon Davis SF 79.4
6 82 Alge Crumpler ATL 80.0
7 85 Chris Cooley WAS 83.9
8 90 Kellen Winslow CLE 91.6
9 97 L.J Smith PHI 101.8
10 107 Ben Watson NE 105.9
11 115 Jason Witten DAL 118.7
12 116 Randy McMichael STL 119.4
13 121 Dallas Clark IND 125.2
14 133 Heath Miller PIT 140.8
15 149 Tony Scheffler DEN 160.0
16 154 Greg Olsen CHI 163.3
17 168 Owen Daniels HOU 179.4
18 175 Eric Johnson NO 185.6
19 176 Desmond Clark CHI 186.5
20 189 Ben Troupe TEN 194.3
21 213 Leonard Pope ARI 200.6
22 224 Bo Scaife TEN 202.4
23 226 David Martin MIA 202.6
24 228 Marcus Pollard SEA 202.7
25 231 Alex Smith TB 202.9
26 232 Jerramy Stevens TB 202.9
27 250 Marcedes Lewis JAX 203.8
28 256 Jermaine Wiggins JAX 203.9

 


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